The best economic performance for five years means the UK now leads the way in Europe, experts said last night. Britain stormed out of recession despite the slowdown in the global economy and the escalating crisis in the eurozone. Research
group Capital Economics said the UK was the strongest performing major
economy in the world between July and September – and it will outstrip
the rest of Europe until at least 2015.
Capital Economics predicted outright
recession across the eurozone in the coming months, with Germany not
recovering until early 2014 and France, Italy and Spain not recovering
until 2015 at the earliest.
Samuel
Tombs, an economist at Capital Economics, said: 'The latest GDP figures
suggest that the UK economy is emerging from recession at the same time
that the eurozone is entering one.
And there are still a number of constraints that will mean that the economy struggles to grow at all in the coming quarters.’
It
marks a significant turnaround for Britain which was among the first of
the major economies to suffer a double-dip recession following the
fragile recovery from the banking crash four years ago.
The Capital Economics report warned
that Britain faces another quarter of decline – with output sinking 0.4
per cent in the final three months of this year.
But
the economy is expected to bounce back in the first quarter of next
year – avoiding a dreaded triple-dip recession while the rest of Europe
sinks deeper into the mire.
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